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Ceara
23:00
Goias
Tue 27 Oct, 23:00 Estadio Castelão Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 74%Books 75% Best odds 1.33 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
47%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 47%Bookmakers 46% Edge +0.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.3% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 47% against a market price of 46% (+0.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Ceara

DLWWD
  • 17 Oct · H v Juventude 2–2 (xG 1.86–1.27)
  • 13 Oct · A v Botafogo SP 0–1 (xG 0.50–0.86)
  • 8 Oct · H v Criciuma 1–0 (xG 0.77–0.56)
  • 3 Oct · A v Avai 1–0 (xG 1.58–1.85)
  • 26 Sep · A v Operario-PR 2–2

Goias

DWWLL
  • 19 Oct · H v Nautico Recife 0–0 (xG 1.91–1.34)
  • 11 Oct · A v Operario-PR 2–0 (xG 0.86–1.57)
  • 6 Oct · H v Athletic Club 2–1 (xG 1.66–1.69)
  • 2 Oct · A v Novorizontino 0–3
  • 26 Sep · H v Atletico Goianiense 0–1 (xG 1.29–0.64)

Head-to-head

Ceara 0 · draws 1 · Goias 2, 2.3 goals a game

  • 4 Jul 2026 · Goias 2–0 Ceara (Serie B)
  • 13 Aug 2024 · Goias 2–1 Ceara (Serie B)
  • 20 Apr 2024 · Ceara 1–1 Goias (Serie B)