Juventude
23:30
Nautico Recife
Mon 26 Oct, 23:30
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Bruno Mota Correia
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 63%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
15%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 62%Bookmakers 63%
Edge -1.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.4% expected per unit).
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 63% (-1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsJuventude
DDWWW
- 17 Oct · A v Ceara 2–2 (xG 1.27–1.86)
- 11 Oct · H v São Bernardo 2–2 (xG 1.86–1.35)
- 7 Oct · A v Ponte Preta 2–0
- 2 Oct · H v Operario-PR 3–0 (xG 2.38–1.65)
- 28 Sep · A v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.19–0.38)
Nautico Recife
DLLDW
- 19 Oct · A v Goias 0–0 (xG 1.34–1.91)
- 11 Oct · H v Vila Nova 0–2 (xG 0.60–0.70)
- 8 Oct · H v Novorizontino 0–2 (xG 0.18–1.62)
- 3 Oct · A v Fortaleza EC 1–1
- 26 Sep · H v Sport Recife 3–1 (xG 1.27–1.68)
Head-to-head
Juventude 0 · draws 1 · Nautico Recife 0, 0.0 goals a game
- 5 Jul 2026 · Nautico Recife 0–0 Juventude (Serie B)