Juventude
4–0
Nautico Recife
Mon 26 Oct, 23:30
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Bruno Mota Correia
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
65%
Bookmakers 68%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 65%Bookmakers 68%
Edge -2.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-6.0% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 68% (-2.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsJuventude
DDWWW
- 17 Oct · A v Ceara 2–2 (xG 1.27–1.86)
- 11 Oct · H v São Bernardo 2–2 (xG 1.86–1.35)
- 7 Oct · A v Ponte Preta 2–0
- 2 Oct · H v Operario-PR 3–0 (xG 2.38–1.65)
- 28 Sep · A v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.19–0.38)
Nautico Recife
DLLDW
- 19 Oct · A v Goias 0–0 (xG 1.34–1.91)
- 11 Oct · H v Vila Nova 0–2 (xG 0.60–0.70)
- 8 Oct · H v Novorizontino 0–2 (xG 0.18–1.62)
- 3 Oct · A v Fortaleza EC 1–1
- 26 Sep · H v Sport Recife 3–1 (xG 1.27–1.68)
Head-to-head
Juventude 0 · draws 1 · Nautico Recife 0, 0.0 goals a game
- 5 Jul 2026 · Nautico Recife 0–0 Juventude (Serie B)