Operario-PR
1–0
Athletic Club
Fri 23 Oct, 22:30
Estadio Germano Kruger
Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
52%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 52%Bookmakers 50%
Edge +1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 50% (+1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsOperario-PR
LLLLD
- 17 Oct · A v America Mineiro 0–1 (xG 0.69–1.70)
- 11 Oct · H v Goias 0–2 (xG 1.57–0.86)
- 7 Oct · H v Botafogo SP 1–2 (xG 0.56–0.68)
- 2 Oct · A v Juventude 0–3 (xG 1.65–2.38)
- 26 Sep · H v Ceara 2–2
Athletic Club
DDLLD
- 18 Oct · A v Avai 0–0 (xG 0.11–1.06)
- 13 Oct · H v Londrina 2–2 (xG 1.35–2.16)
- 6 Oct · A v Goias 1–2 (xG 1.69–1.66)
- 1 Oct · H v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.74–0.59)
- 27 Sep · A v Fortaleza EC 2–2 (xG 1.00–2.15)
Head-to-head
Operario-PR 1 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 7 Jul 2026 · Athletic Club 0–1 Operario-PR (Serie B)
- 8 Oct 2025 · Operario-PR 1–4 Athletic Club (Serie B)
- 14 Jun 2025 · Athletic Club 2–1 Operario-PR (Serie B)