Ponte Preta
21:30
Fortaleza EC
Sat 24 Oct, 21:30
Moisés Lucarelli
De Moraes Silva, Matheus
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
9%
Bookmakers 7%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
74%
Bookmakers 77%
Us 74%Bookmakers 77%
Edge -3.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-5.6% expected per unit).
- Away win: 74% against a market price of 77% (-3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPonte Preta
DLLLL
- 16 Oct · H v Atletico Goianiense 1–1 (xG 1.17–2.26)
- 12 Oct · A v Novorizontino 1–5 (xG 1.40–1.68)
- 7 Oct · H v Juventude 0–2
- 3 Oct · A v Cuiaba 0–2 (xG 0.06–2.45)
- 29 Sep · A v Botafogo SP 0–2 (xG 0.77–1.64)
Fortaleza EC
WDWDD
- 16 Oct · A v Sport Recife 2–0 (xG 0.70–0.78)
- 12 Oct · H v CRB 2–2
- 7 Oct · A v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.59–0.43)
- 3 Oct · H v Nautico Recife 1–1
- 27 Sep · H v Athletic Club 2–2 (xG 2.15–1.00)
Head-to-head
Ponte Preta 0 · draws 0 · Fortaleza EC 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 3 Jul 2026 · Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta (Serie B)