Ponte Preta
2–2
Fortaleza EC
Sat 24 Oct, 21:30
Moisés Lucarelli
De Moraes Silva, Matheus
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
9%
Bookmakers 7%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
74%
Bookmakers 77%
Us 74%Bookmakers 77%
Edge -3.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-5.6% expected per unit).
- Away win: 74% against a market price of 77% (-3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPonte Preta
DLLLL
- 16 Oct · H v Atletico Goianiense 1–1 (xG 1.17–2.26)
- 12 Oct · A v Novorizontino 1–5 (xG 1.40–1.68)
- 7 Oct · H v Juventude 0–2
- 3 Oct · A v Cuiaba 0–2 (xG 0.06–2.45)
- 29 Sep · A v Botafogo SP 0–2 (xG 0.77–1.64)
Fortaleza EC
WDWDD
- 16 Oct · A v Sport Recife 2–0 (xG 0.70–0.78)
- 12 Oct · H v CRB 2–2
- 7 Oct · A v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.59–0.43)
- 3 Oct · H v Nautico Recife 1–1
- 27 Sep · H v Athletic Club 2–2 (xG 2.15–1.00)
Head-to-head
Ponte Preta 0 · draws 0 · Fortaleza EC 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 3 Jul 2026 · Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta (Serie B)