São Bernardo
19:30
Vila Nova
Sat 24 Oct, 19:30
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Alex Gomes Stefano
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 37%Bookmakers 39%
Edge -1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 39% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSão Bernardo
LDLWD
- 18 Oct · H v Criciuma 0–1 (xG 0.42–0.78)
- 11 Oct · A v Juventude 2–2 (xG 1.35–1.86)
- 6 Oct · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.99–1.63)
- 2 Oct · H v CRB 3–1 (xG 0.56–1.93)
- 25 Sep · A v Novorizontino 0–0 (xG 0.27–0.56)
Vila Nova
DWDWW
- 18 Oct · H v Novorizontino 2–2 (xG 1.08–0.48)
- 11 Oct · A v Nautico Recife 2–0 (xG 0.70–0.60)
- 7 Oct · H v Cuiaba 0–0 (xG 1.13–0.73)
- 3 Oct · A v Botafogo SP 1–0 (xG 0.22–1.14)
- 25 Sep · H v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.36–0.39)
Head-to-head
São Bernardo 0 · draws 0 · Vila Nova 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 6 Jul 2026 · Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo (Serie B)