São Bernardo
3–2
Vila Nova
Sat 24 Oct, 19:30
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Alex Gomes Stefano
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 37%Bookmakers 39%
Edge -1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 39% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSão Bernardo
LDLWD
- 18 Oct · H v Criciuma 0–1 (xG 0.42–0.78)
- 11 Oct · A v Juventude 2–2 (xG 1.35–1.86)
- 6 Oct · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.99–1.63)
- 2 Oct · H v CRB 3–1 (xG 0.56–1.93)
- 25 Sep · A v Novorizontino 0–0 (xG 0.27–0.56)
Vila Nova
DWDWW
- 18 Oct · H v Novorizontino 2–2 (xG 1.08–0.48)
- 11 Oct · A v Nautico Recife 2–0 (xG 0.70–0.60)
- 7 Oct · H v Cuiaba 0–0 (xG 1.13–0.73)
- 3 Oct · A v Botafogo SP 1–0 (xG 0.22–1.14)
- 25 Sep · H v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.36–0.39)
Head-to-head
São Bernardo 0 · draws 0 · Vila Nova 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 6 Jul 2026 · Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo (Serie B)