Sport Recife
00:00
Criciuma
Sat 24 Oct, 00:00
Ilha do Retiro
Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 78%Books 75% Edge +3.5 pts Best odds 1.30 (Pinnacle) Expected return +2.0%
Match result: no bet
Home win
35%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 36%Bookmakers 39%
Edge -3.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 36% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 36% against a market price of 39% (-3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSport Recife
LDWWL
- 16 Oct · H v Fortaleza EC 0–2 (xG 0.78–0.70)
- 11 Oct · A v Atletico Goianiense 1–1 (xG 1.84–2.03)
- 6 Oct · H v São Bernardo 2–1 (xG 1.63–1.99)
- 1 Oct · A v Athletic Club 2–1 (xG 0.59–1.74)
- 26 Sep · A v Nautico Recife 1–3 (xG 1.68–1.27)
Criciuma
WWLWW
- 18 Oct · A v São Bernardo 1–0 (xG 0.78–0.42)
- 12 Oct · H v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.47–0.15)
- 8 Oct · A v Ceara 0–1 (xG 0.56–0.77)
- 2 Oct · A v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.08–0.89)
- 27 Sep · H v Avai 3–0 (xG 0.82–0.05)
Head-to-head
Sport Recife 0 · draws 0 · Criciuma 1, 1.0 goals a game
- 4 Jul 2026 · Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife (Serie B)