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Henan Jianye
07:30
Beijing Guoan
Sat 24 Oct, 07:30 Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValue
    Us 60%Books 57% Edge +3.3 pts Best odds 1.69 (1xBet) Expected return +1.9%

Match result: no bet

Home win
28%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
46%
Bookmakers 45%
Us 46%Bookmakers 45% Edge +0.9 pts Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.9% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 46% against a market price of 45% (+0.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Henan Jianye

LDDDD
  • 16 Oct · H v Tianjin Teda 0–1
  • 9 Oct · A v Sichuan Jiuniu 2–2
  • 12 Sep · A v Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 (xG 2.35–1.17)
  • 6 Sep · H v Chengdu Better City 0–0 (xG 0.98–0.55)
  • 29 Aug · H v Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 (xG 1.31–0.55)

Beijing Guoan

WWWWD
  • 18 Oct · H v Qingdao Youth Island 1–0
  • 13 Oct · A v Buriram United 1–0 (xG 0.64–1.00)
  • 9 Oct · A v Qingdao Jonoon 3–0
  • 15 Sep · H v Pohang Steelers 3–1 (xG 1.75–1.05)
  • 5 Sep · A v SHANGHAI SIPG 0–0

Head-to-head

Henan Jianye 3 · draws 1 · Beijing Guoan 1, 2.2 goals a game

  • 23 May 2026 · Beijing Guoan 1–2 Henan Jianye (Super League)
  • 12 Sep 2025 · Henan Jianye 2–0 Beijing Guoan (Super League)
  • 25 Apr 2025 · Beijing Guoan 1–0 Henan Jianye (Super League)
  • 2 Nov 2024 · Beijing Guoan 1–1 Henan Jianye (Super League)
  • 15 Jun 2024 · Henan Jianye 2–1 Beijing Guoan (Super League)