Qingdao Youth Island
07:30
Yunnan Yukun
Sat 24 Oct, 07:30
Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
40%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 36%
Us 40%Bookmakers 38%
Edge +2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 38% (+2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsQingdao Youth Island
LLDDW
- 18 Oct · A v Beijing Guoan 0–1
- 11 Oct · H v Dalian Zhixing 0–4 (xG 0.53–3.49)
- 5 Sep · A v Wuhan Three Towns 2–2
- 29 Aug · A v Tianjin Teda 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.08)
- 22 Aug · H v Shandong Luneng 2–0 (xG 0.70–1.40)
Yunnan Yukun
DLWLD
- 17 Oct · H v Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Shanghai Shenhua 1–7 (xG 0.89–6.33)
- 6 Sep · H v Shenyang Urban 5–0 (xG 2.30–1.14)
- 29 Aug · A v Hangzhou Greentown 0–6 (xG 1.27–3.34)
- 22 Aug · A v Beijing Guoan 3–3 (xG 1.45–2.69)
Head-to-head
Qingdao Youth Island 1 · draws 1 · Yunnan Yukun 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 24 May 2026 · Yunnan Yukun 2–3 Qingdao Youth Island (Super League)
- 2 Nov 2025 · Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island (Super League)
- 14 Jun 2025 · Qingdao Youth Island 0–0 Yunnan Yukun (Super League)