Dinamo Zagreb
17:00
HNK Rijeka
Tue 27 Oct, 17:00
Stadion Maksimir
Dario Bel
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 81%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
61%
Bookmakers 61%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 61%Bookmakers 61%
Edge +0.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 61% against a market price of 61% (+0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDinamo Zagreb
LWWLW
- 22 Oct · H v NEC Nijmegen 2–4 (xG 2.67–1.41)
- 18 Oct · A v NK Slaven Belupo 5–1 (xG 3.78–2.19)
- 15 Oct · H v Anderlecht 1–0 (xG 1.82–1.18)
- 10 Oct · A v HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 (xG 1.39–1.05)
- 20 Sep · H v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–2 (xG 1.88–1.42)
HNK Rijeka
WLWDW
- 16 Oct · A v Rudes 2–1 (xG 1.10–0.71)
- 11 Oct · A v NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 (xG 2.12–1.81)
- 20 Sep · H v HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 (xG 1.46–1.28)
- 12 Sep · A v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 (xG 2.01–0.39)
- 5 Sep · H v NK Osijek 4–1 (xG 2.66–0.35)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Zagreb 3 · draws 2 · HNK Rijeka 1, 2.3 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 8 Feb 2026 · HNK Rijeka 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb (HNL)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 16 Aug 2025 · HNK Rijeka 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb (HNL)
- 27 Apr 2025 · Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 22 Feb 2025 · HNK Rijeka 4–0 Dinamo Zagreb (HNL)