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Istra 1961
17:00
HNK Hajduk Split
Mon 26 Oct, 17:00 Stadion Aldo Drosina Patrik Kolaric
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
21%
Bookmakers 20%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
55%
Bookmakers 57%
Us 55%Bookmakers 57% Edge -1.8 pts Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 55% against a market price of 57% (-1.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Istra 1961

LWLWD
  • 17 Oct · A v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–2 (xG 0.58–1.49)
  • 10 Oct · A v NK Osijek 3–1 (xG 2.58–0.73)
  • 19 Sep · H v HNK Gorica 0–1 (xG 1.21–0.61)
  • 13 Sep · H v Rudes 3–2 (xG 1.87–0.84)
  • 4 Sep · A v NK Varazdin 0–0 (xG 0.30–1.45)

HNK Hajduk Split

WWWWL
  • 22 Oct · A v FC Thun 1–0 (xG 1.30–1.35)
  • 18 Oct · H v NK Varazdin 1–0 (xG 1.43–1.25)
  • 15 Oct · H v Ajax 2–1 (xG 1.99–1.15)
  • 10 Oct · H v Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 (xG 1.05–1.39)
  • 20 Sep · A v HNK Rijeka 0–3 (xG 1.28–1.46)

Head-to-head

Istra 1961 2 · draws 1 · HNK Hajduk Split 3, 3.0 goals a game

  • 9 Aug 2026 · HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Istra 1961 (HNL)
  • 7 Apr 2026 · Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)
  • 25 Jan 2026 · HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 Istra 1961 (HNL)
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Istra 1961 0–3 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)
  • 3 Aug 2025 · HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 1961 (HNL)
  • 23 Apr 2025 · HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 Istra 1961 (HNL)