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Aarhus
17:00
Viborg
Sun 25 Oct, 17:00
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
42%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 42%Bookmakers 40% Edge +2.5 pts Uncertainty ±1.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.5% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 42% against a market price of 40% (+2.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Aarhus

DDLWD
  • 22 Oct · H v Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 (xG 1.03–0.79)
  • 18 Oct · A v FC Copenhagen 1–1 (xG 0.88–2.07)
  • 15 Oct · A v Gent 0–1 (xG 0.23–2.24)
  • 12 Oct · H v Sonderjyske 3–0 (xG 1.47–1.56)
  • 20 Sep · A v AC Horsens 2–2 (xG 1.01–1.19)

Viborg

LWWDL
  • 19 Oct · H v FC Midtjylland 1–2 (xG 1.56–0.84)
  • 11 Oct · A v Randers FC 2–0 (xG 2.18–1.02)
  • 20 Sep · H v FC Nordsjaelland 4–1 (xG 2.60–1.32)
  • 13 Sep · A v Silkeborg 1–1
  • 4 Sep · H v Lyngby 0–2 (xG 1.52–1.55)

Head-to-head

Aarhus 4 · draws 1 · Viborg 1, 4.3 goals a game

  • 14 Aug 2026 · Viborg 2–1 Aarhus (Superliga)
  • 17 May 2026 · Aarhus 6–2 Viborg (Superliga)
  • 6 Apr 2026 · Viborg 1–2 Aarhus (Superliga)
  • 22 Feb 2026 · Aarhus 5–2 Viborg (Superliga)
  • 14 Sep 2025 · Viborg 1–2 Aarhus (Superliga)
  • 9 Mar 2025 · Aarhus 1–1 Viborg (Superliga)