Alianza Lima
3–1
Atletico Grau
Sun 18 Oct, 01:30
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
M. Espinoza
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
70%
Bookmakers 74%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
10%
Bookmakers 9%
Us 70%Bookmakers 74%
Edge -3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-3.5%).
- Home win: 70% against a market price of 74% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlianza Lima
WWLDL
- 11 Oct · A v Cusco 2–1 (xG 0.84–0.27)
- 19 Sep · H v ADT 2–0
- 13 Sep · H v Universitario 1–2 (xG 1.81–1.15)
- 6 Sep · A v Juan Pablo II College 1–1 (xG 0.59–0.50)
- 30 Aug · H v Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1
Atletico Grau
DLWLW
- 8 Oct · H v Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–0
- 19 Sep · A v Sporting Cristal 1–3 (xG 0.99–2.08)
- 13 Sep · H v Alianza Atletico 3–1
- 6 Sep · A v Deportivo Garcilaso 2–4 (xG 1.28–2.82)
- 1 Sep · H v FBC Melgar 1–0
Head-to-head
Alianza Lima 3 · draws 1 · Atletico Grau 1, 1.8 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Atletico Grau 0–1 Alianza Lima (Primera División)
- 2 Oct 2025 · Alianza Lima 2–1 Atletico Grau (Primera División)
- 10 May 2025 · Atletico Grau 1–1 Alianza Lima (Primera División)
- 18 Sep 2024 · Atletico Grau 1–0 Alianza Lima (Primera División)
- 15 Apr 2024 · Alianza Lima 2–0 Atletico Grau (Primera División)