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FBC Melgar
4–2
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sat 17 Oct, 23:00 Estadio Monumental de la UNSA Kevin Ortega, Peru

Match result: no bet

Won
Home win
57%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 57%Bookmakers 58% Edge -1.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-1.3%).

  • Home win: 57% against a market price of 58% (-1.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FBC Melgar

DDWWL
  • 11 Oct · A v Universitario 2–2 (xG 1.70–1.36)
  • 20 Sep · H v Sport Boys 1–1
  • 12 Sep · A v Cusco 1–0 (xG 2.45–0.83)
  • 6 Sep · H v ADT 3–0 (xG 2.43–1.29)
  • 1 Sep · A v Atletico Grau 0–1

Deportivo Garcilaso

LWLWW
  • 10 Oct · H v Sport Huancayo 0–1 (xG 1.61–1.28)
  • 19 Sep · H v Universitario 4–0
  • 13 Sep · A v Sport Boys 0–1
  • 6 Sep · H v Atletico Grau 4–2 (xG 2.82–1.28)
  • 30 Aug · A v Alianza Lima 1–0

Head-to-head

FBC Melgar 1 · draws 2 · Deportivo Garcilaso 2, 2.4 goals a game

  • 28 Apr 2026 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 FBC Melgar (Primera División)
  • 19 Sep 2025 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 FBC Melgar (Primera División)
  • 18 Apr 2025 · FBC Melgar 1–2 Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División)
  • 3 Nov 2024 · FBC Melgar 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División)
  • 25 May 2024 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1–3 FBC Melgar (Primera División)