UCV Moquegua
18:15
Alianza Lima
Sun 25 Oct, 18:15
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
17%
Bookmakers 15%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
59%
Bookmakers 61%
Us 59%Bookmakers 61%
Edge -1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 59% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 59% against a market price of 61% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUCV Moquegua
WLLLL
- 18 Oct · A v FC Cajamarca 1–0 (xG 0.51–0.74)
- 8 Oct · H v Cienciano 0–2
- 20 Sep · A v Juan Pablo II College 0–4
- 13 Sep · H v Sporting Cristal 1–2
- 5 Sep · A v Cusco 0–2 (xG 0.17–3.78)
Alianza Lima
WWWLD
- 18 Oct · H v Atletico Grau 3–1 (xG 1.64–0.57)
- 11 Oct · A v Cusco 2–1 (xG 0.84–0.27)
- 19 Sep · H v ADT 2–0
- 13 Sep · H v Universitario 1–2 (xG 1.81–1.15)
- 6 Sep · A v Juan Pablo II College 1–1 (xG 0.59–0.50)
Head-to-head
UCV Moquegua 0 · draws 0 · Alianza Lima 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Alianza Lima 2–1 UCV Moquegua (Primera División)