Alianza Atletico
20:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
Wed 28 Oct, 20:30
Estadio Campeones del 36
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 77%Books 76% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
49%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 49%Bookmakers 53%
Edge -4.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 53% (-4.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlianza Atletico
LLWWL
- 24 Oct · A v Sport Huancayo 1–4 (xG 1.11–2.04)
- 18 Oct · H v Universitario 1–4 (xG 0.47–1.05)
- 11 Oct · A v Sport Boys 3–1 (xG 1.73–1.76)
- 18 Sep · H v Comerciantes Unidos 2–1
- 13 Sep · A v Atletico Grau 1–3
Deportivo Garcilaso
WLLWL
- 25 Oct · H v Club Deportivo Los Chankas 4–1 (xG 2.45–0.66)
- 17 Oct · A v FBC Melgar 2–4 (xG 0.78–2.89)
- 10 Oct · H v Sport Huancayo 0–1 (xG 1.61–1.28)
- 19 Sep · H v Universitario 4–0
- 13 Sep · A v Sport Boys 0–1
Head-to-head
Alianza Atletico 5 · draws 0 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1, 2.7 goals a game
- 11 May 2026 · Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1 Alianza Atletico (Primera División)
- 4 Mar 2026 · Alianza Atletico 2–0 Deportivo Garcilaso (CONMEBOL Sudamericana)
- 5 Oct 2025 · Deportivo Garcilaso 2–4 Alianza Atletico (Primera División)
- 16 May 2025 · Alianza Atletico 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División)
- 10 Aug 2024 · Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 Alianza Atletico (Primera División)
- 29 Feb 2024 · Alianza Atletico 3–0 Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División)