FBC Melgar
00:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Fri 30 Oct, 00:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Bet365)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
75%
Bookmakers 76%
Draw
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
9%
Bookmakers 8%
Us 75%Bookmakers 76%
Edge -0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 75% against a market price of 76% (-0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFBC Melgar
WWDDW
- 23 Oct · A v UTC Cajamarca 2–1 (xG 1.01–1.47)
- 17 Oct · H v Deportivo Garcilaso 4–2 (xG 2.89–0.78)
- 11 Oct · A v Universitario 2–2 (xG 1.70–1.36)
- 20 Sep · H v Sport Boys 1–1
- 12 Sep · A v Cusco 1–0 (xG 2.45–0.83)
Comerciantes Unidos
WLDLL
- 25 Oct · H v Cienciano 3–1 (xG 2.45–0.99)
- 18 Oct · A v Sporting Cristal 2–4 (xG 2.21–1.55)
- 10 Oct · H v Juan Pablo II College 1–1 (xG 2.07–1.10)
- 18 Sep · A v Alianza Atletico 1–2
- 12 Sep · H v Sport Huancayo 0–1
Head-to-head
FBC Melgar 1 · draws 4 · Comerciantes Unidos 0, 1.8 goals a game
- 10 May 2026 · Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar (Primera División)
- 27 Sep 2025 · Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar (Primera División)
- 2 May 2025 · FBC Melgar 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División)
- 7 Sep 2024 · FBC Melgar 3–0 Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División)
- 2 Mar 2024 · Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 FBC Melgar (Primera División)