Chico
01:05
Junior
Wed 28 Oct, 01:05
Estadio La Independencia
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 78%Books 77% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 37%Bookmakers 35%
Edge +2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.2% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 35% (+2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChico
WLLLD
- 23 Oct · H v Bucaramanga 1–0 (xG 1.08–0.38)
- 20 Oct · A v Deportivo Pereira 0–2 (xG 0.83–1.41)
- 17 Oct · H v Atletico Nacional 1–4 (xG 1.27–1.23)
- 11 Oct · H v Cucuta 0–1 (xG 0.50–0.87)
- 3 Oct · A v Deportes Tolima 0–0
Junior
WDDDL
- 24 Oct · H v Águilas Doradas 1–0 (xG 1.29–0.48)
- 19 Oct · A v Deportivo Cali 0–0 (xG 0.44–1.46)
- 14 Oct · H v Deportivo Pereira 1–1 (xG 1.74–0.21)
- 10 Oct · H v Internacional de Bogota 2–2 (xG 1.62–1.75)
- 4 Oct · A v Bucaramanga 1–3
Head-to-head
Chico 0 · draws 1 · Junior 4, 2.8 goals a game
- 8 Feb 2026 · Junior 3–0 Chico (Primera A)
- 2 Aug 2025 · Junior 2–0 Chico (Primera A)
- 19 Feb 2025 · Chico 0–2 Junior (Primera A)
- 22 Jul 2024 · Junior 2–1 Chico (Primera A)
- 28 Jan 2024 · Chico 2–2 Junior (Primera A)