Once Caldas
23:00
Alianza Valledupar
Wed 28 Oct, 23:00
Estadio Palogrande
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 75%Books 72% Edge +2.9 pts Best odds 1.34 (Betano) Expected return +0.8%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersUs 64%Books 63% Best odds 1.52 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
60%
Bookmakers 66%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
15%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 60%Bookmakers 66%
Edge -6.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 60% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 60% against a market price of 66% (-6.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsOnce Caldas
DDWWD
- 25 Oct · H v Deportivo Pereira 1–1 (xG 2.07–0.39)
- 21 Oct · A v Millonarios 1–1 (xG 1.65–0.46)
- 18 Oct · A v Independiente Medellin 2–0 (xG 0.61–0.42)
- 10 Oct · H v Llaneros 1–0 (xG 0.70–1.55)
- 4 Oct · A v Internacional de Bogota 1–1
Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
- 25 Oct · H v Internacional de Bogota 1–0 (xG 1.42–0.26)
- 20 Oct · A v Deportivo Pasto 1–0 (xG 0.94–0.92)
- 9 Oct · H v Águilas Doradas 2–2 (xG 1.70–1.38)
- 3 Oct · A v Deportivo Cali 1–3
- 27 Sep · A v Jaguares 2–1 (xG 0.72–0.91)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas 1 · draws 2 · Alianza Valledupar 2, 1.4 goals a game
- 8 Feb 2026 · Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Once Caldas (Primera A)
- 15 Aug 2025 · Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Once Caldas (Primera A)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Once Caldas 1–2 Alianza Valledupar (Primera A)
- 6 Oct 2024 · Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Once Caldas (Primera A)
- 25 Mar 2024 · Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar (Primera A)