Atletico Nacional
01:00
Deportivo Pasto
Fri 23 Oct, 01:00
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
75%
Bookmakers 77%
Draw
18%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
8%
Bookmakers 7%
Us 75%Bookmakers 77%
Edge -1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.5% expected per unit).
- Home win: 75% against a market price of 77% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAtletico Nacional
LWDWD
- 20 Oct · A v Cucuta 0–1 (xG 0.94–0.38)
- 17 Oct · A v Chico 4–1 (xG 1.23–1.27)
- 8 Oct · H v Deportes Tolima 0–0
- 1 Oct · H v Junior 3–1
- 25 Sep · H v Millonarios 1–1
Deportivo Pasto
LDLWW
- 20 Oct · H v Alianza Valledupar 0–1 (xG 0.92–0.94)
- 4 Oct · H v Fortaleza FC 0–0
- 25 Sep · A v Chico 0–3 (xG 1.31–0.73)
- 20 Sep · H v Once Caldas 1–0
- 15 Sep · A v America de Cali 1–0 (xG 0.65–0.38)
Head-to-head
Atletico Nacional 5 · draws 1 · Deportivo Pasto 0, 2.8 goals a game
- 29 Mar 2026 · Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional (Primera A)
- 18 Oct 2025 · Deportivo Pasto 2–2 Atletico Nacional (Primera A)
- 30 Apr 2025 · Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo Pasto (Primera A)
- 5 Dec 2024 · Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo Pasto (Primera A)
- 24 Nov 2024 · Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Atletico Nacional (Primera A)
- 6 Oct 2024 · Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional (Primera A)