Venezia
1–0
Napoli
Sat 17 Oct, 13:00
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
57%
Bookmakers 57%
Us 57%Bookmakers 57%
Edge -0.1 pts
Uncertainty ±1.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-0.1%).
- Away win: 57% against a market price of 57% (-0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVenezia
LLLLL
- 12 Oct · A v Atalanta 1–3 (xG 2.54–2.26)
- 19 Sep · H v Lazio 0–2 (xG 1.89–1.60)
- 11 Sep · H v Fiorentina 2–4 (xG 0.49–3.31)
- 6 Sep · A v Frosinone 2–3 (xG 2.17–1.90)
- 28 Aug · A v AC Milan 0–2
Napoli
LWDWL
- 13 Oct · A v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 1.70–1.24)
- 10 Oct · H v Frosinone 3–0 (xG 3.12–1.01)
- 20 Sep · A v Fiorentina 1–1 (xG 1.40–1.14)
- 13 Sep · H v Bologna 1–0 (xG 1.19–0.29)
- 9 Sep · H v Arsenal 0–1 (xG 0.22–4.05)
Head-to-head
Venezia 0 · draws 1 · Napoli 1, 0.5 goals a game
- 16 Mar 2025 · Venezia 0–0 Napoli (Serie A)
- 29 Dec 2024 · Napoli 1–0 Venezia (Serie A)