Cagliari
13:00
Bologna
Sat 24 Oct, 13:00
Unipol Domus
Kevin Bonacina
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 39%Bookmakers 39%
Edge +0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 39% against a market price of 39% (+0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCagliari
LDWWW
- 19 Oct · A v Monza 0–4 (xG 2.11–2.10)
- 11 Oct · H v Juventus 1–1 (xG 0.56–1.97)
- 19 Sep · A v Udinese 1–0 (xG 1.12–2.13)
- 12 Sep · A v Atalanta 2–1 (xG 1.32–1.74)
- 7 Sep · H v Lecce 1–0 (xG 1.61–0.50)
Bologna
LWDLD
- 17 Oct · H v Inter 1–3 (xG 1.09–3.22)
- 11 Oct · A v Lecce 2–1 (xG 2.00–1.49)
- 19 Sep · H v Torino 1–1 (xG 0.92–1.14)
- 13 Sep · A v Napoli 0–1 (xG 0.29–1.19)
- 6 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–2 (xG 1.88–1.62)
Head-to-head
Cagliari 0 · draws 1 · Bologna 3, 1.8 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Bologna 0–0 Cagliari (Serie A)
- 19 Oct 2025 · Cagliari 0–2 Bologna (Serie A)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Bologna 2–1 Cagliari (Serie A)
- 29 Oct 2024 · Cagliari 0–2 Bologna (Serie A)