Genoa
14:00
Venezia
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 38%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -6.9 pts
Uncertainty ±4.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 45% (-6.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGenoa
LWLDL
- 17 Oct · A v AS Roma 0–2 (xG 0.49–1.45)
- 10 Oct · H v Fiorentina 2–1 (xG 1.46–0.82)
- 20 Sep · A v Parma 1–2 (xG 0.70–0.53)
- 12 Sep · H v Frosinone 1–1 (xG 1.88–1.93)
- 4 Sep · H v Como 1–4 (xG 0.78–1.78)
Venezia
WLLLL
- 17 Oct · H v Napoli 1–0 (xG 0.67–2.46)
- 12 Oct · A v Atalanta 1–3 (xG 2.54–2.26)
- 19 Sep · H v Lazio 0–2 (xG 1.89–1.60)
- 11 Sep · H v Fiorentina 2–4 (xG 0.49–3.31)
- 6 Sep · A v Frosinone 2–3 (xG 2.17–1.90)
Head-to-head
Genoa 1 · draws 0 · Venezia 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 17 Feb 2025 · Genoa 2–0 Venezia (Serie A)
- 21 Sep 2024 · Venezia 2–0 Genoa (Serie A)