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Lazio
18:45
Parma
Sat 24 Oct, 18:45 Stadio Olimpico Alberto Ruben Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
69%
Bookmakers 70%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
11%
Bookmakers 10%
Us 69%Bookmakers 70% Edge -1.1 pts Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-0.9% expected per unit).

  • Home win: 69% against a market price of 70% (-1.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lazio

WWWDW
  • 18 Oct · A v Juventus 3–0 (xG 0.59–0.79)
  • 11 Oct · H v Monza 3–1 (xG 1.84–1.84)
  • 19 Sep · A v Venezia 2–0 (xG 1.60–1.89)
  • 12 Sep · H v AC Milan 2–2 (xG 2.01–1.25)
  • 7 Sep · A v Udinese 2–1 (xG 1.83–0.85)

Parma

LLWLD
  • 19 Oct · H v Torino 0–3 (xG 1.43–1.37)
  • 10 Oct · A v Inter 0–3 (xG 0.46–2.42)
  • 20 Sep · H v Genoa 2–1 (xG 0.53–0.70)
  • 14 Sep · A v Como 1–2 (xG 1.15–2.98)
  • 6 Sep · H v Monza 1–1 (xG 0.73–1.72)

Head-to-head

Lazio 1 · draws 2 · Parma 1, 2.8 goals a game

  • 4 Apr 2026 · Lazio 1–1 Parma (Serie A)
  • 13 Dec 2025 · Parma 0–1 Lazio (Serie A)
  • 28 Apr 2025 · Lazio 2–2 Parma (Serie A)
  • 1 Dec 2024 · Parma 3–1 Lazio (Serie A)