Napoli
16:00
AS Roma
Sat 24 Oct, 16:00
Maradona Stadium
Andrea Colombo
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersBankerUs 71%Books 69% Edge +1.7 pts Best odds 1.48 (Pinnacle) Expected return +4.5%
Match result: no bet
Home win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
41%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 41%Bookmakers 38%
Edge +3.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.3% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 41% against a market price of 38% (+3.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNapoli
WLLWD
- 20 Oct · H v Bodo/Glimt 4–3 (xG 1.57–2.69)
- 17 Oct · A v Venezia 0–1 (xG 2.46–0.67)
- 13 Oct · A v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 1.70–1.24)
- 10 Oct · H v Frosinone 3–0 (xG 3.12–1.01)
- 20 Sep · A v Fiorentina 1–1 (xG 1.40–1.14)
AS Roma
WWLDD
- 20 Oct · H v Slovan Bratislava 4–0 (xG 3.19–0.04)
- 17 Oct · H v Genoa 2–0 (xG 1.45–0.49)
- 14 Oct · H v Real Madrid 3–4 (xG 1.49–1.49)
- 11 Oct · A v Como 0–0 (xG 1.08–1.35)
- 19 Sep · H v Inter 2–2
Head-to-head
Napoli 2 · draws 2 · AS Roma 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 15 Feb 2026 · Napoli 2–2 AS Roma (Serie A)
- 30 Nov 2025 · AS Roma 0–1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 2 Feb 2025 · AS Roma 1–1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 24 Nov 2024 · Napoli 1–0 AS Roma (Serie A)