Torino
18:45
Monza
Fri 23 Oct, 18:45
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Andrea Zanotti
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
42%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 42%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -2.9 pts
Uncertainty ±4.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 42% against a market price of 45% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsTorino
WWDLW
- 19 Oct · A v Parma 3–0 (xG 1.37–1.43)
- 12 Oct · H v Udinese 2–1 (xG 2.66–0.79)
- 19 Sep · A v Bologna 1–1 (xG 1.14–0.92)
- 14 Sep · H v AS Roma 0–2 (xG 0.86–1.85)
- 5 Sep · A v Fiorentina 2–1 (xG 0.58–1.67)
Monza
WLWLD
- 19 Oct · H v Cagliari 4–0 (xG 2.10–2.11)
- 11 Oct · A v Lazio 1–3 (xG 1.84–1.84)
- 18 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–1 (xG 1.51–1.47)
- 13 Sep · A v Lecce 2–3 (xG 2.79–1.08)
- 6 Sep · A v Parma 1–1 (xG 1.72–0.73)
Head-to-head
Torino 1 · draws 1 · Monza 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 2 Mar 2025 · Monza 0–2 Torino (Serie A)
- 24 Nov 2024 · Torino 1–1 Monza (Serie A)