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Udinese
19:45
AC Milan
Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
57%
Bookmakers 58%
Us 57%Bookmakers 58% Edge -0.5 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 57% against a market price of 58% (-0.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Udinese

LLLLL
  • 18 Oct · H v Lecce 0–3 (xG 0.63–3.45)
  • 12 Oct · A v Torino 1–2 (xG 0.79–2.66)
  • 19 Sep · H v Cagliari 0–1 (xG 2.13–1.12)
  • 14 Sep · A v Inter 3–5 (xG 0.92–3.05)
  • 7 Sep · H v Lazio 1–2 (xG 0.85–1.83)

AC Milan

LWWDW
  • 22 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 0.17–3.22)
  • 18 Oct · H v Atalanta 3–2 (xG 2.49–1.71)
  • 15 Oct · A v Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 (xG 3.83–0.86)
  • 11 Oct · A v Sassuolo 1–1 (xG 1.18–1.19)
  • 20 Sep · H v Lecce 3–0 (xG 2.19–0.21)

Head-to-head

Udinese 1 · draws 0 · AC Milan 3, 2.8 goals a game

  • 11 Apr 2026 · AC Milan 0–3 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 20 Sep 2025 · Udinese 0–3 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • 11 Apr 2025 · Udinese 0–4 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • 19 Oct 2024 · AC Milan 1–0 Udinese (Serie A)