AC Milan
17:30
Bologna
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
56%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 56%Bookmakers 59%
Edge -3.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 56% against a market price of 59% (-3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAC Milan
WLWWD
- 25 Oct · A v Udinese 2–0 (xG 3.15–0.46)
- 22 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 0.17–3.22)
- 18 Oct · H v Atalanta 3–2 (xG 2.49–1.71)
- 15 Oct · A v Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 (xG 3.83–0.86)
- 11 Oct · A v Sassuolo 1–1 (xG 1.18–1.19)
Bologna
WLWDL
- 24 Oct · A v Cagliari 2–0 (xG 1.64–0.44)
- 17 Oct · H v Inter 1–3 (xG 1.09–3.22)
- 11 Oct · A v Lecce 2–1 (xG 2.00–1.49)
- 19 Sep · H v Torino 1–1 (xG 0.92–1.14)
- 13 Sep · A v Napoli 0–1 (xG 0.29–1.19)
Head-to-head
AC Milan 3 · draws 0 · Bologna 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 3 Feb 2026 · Bologna 0–3 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 14 Sep 2025 · AC Milan 1–0 Bologna (Serie A)
- 9 May 2025 · AC Milan 3–1 Bologna (Serie A)
- 27 Feb 2025 · Bologna 2–1 AC Milan (Serie A)