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Parma
17:30
Udinese
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 Stadio Ennio Tardini
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
33%
Bookmakers 32%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 39%Bookmakers 39% Edge +0.0 pts Uncertainty ±2.7%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.0% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 39% against a market price of 39% (+0.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Parma

LLLWL
  • 24 Oct · A v Lazio 1–2 (xG 0.87–1.82)
  • 19 Oct · H v Torino 0–3 (xG 1.43–1.37)
  • 10 Oct · A v Inter 0–3 (xG 0.46–2.42)
  • 20 Sep · H v Genoa 2–1 (xG 0.53–0.70)
  • 14 Sep · A v Como 1–2 (xG 1.15–2.98)

Udinese

LLLLL
  • 25 Oct · H v AC Milan 0–2 (xG 0.46–3.15)
  • 18 Oct · H v Lecce 0–3 (xG 0.63–3.45)
  • 12 Oct · A v Torino 1–2 (xG 0.79–2.66)
  • 19 Sep · H v Cagliari 0–1 (xG 2.13–1.12)
  • 14 Sep · A v Inter 3–5 (xG 0.92–3.05)

Head-to-head

Parma 1 · draws 0 · Udinese 3, 2.3 goals a game

  • 18 Apr 2026 · Udinese 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
  • 29 Nov 2025 · Parma 0–2 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 1 Mar 2025 · Udinese 1–0 Parma (Serie A)
  • 16 Sep 2024 · Parma 2–3 Udinese (Serie A)