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Parma
17:30
Udinese
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 Ennio Tardini Davide Massa
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (1xBet)

Match result: no bet

Home win
35%
Bookmakers 32%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 38%Bookmakers 39% Edge -1.1 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 38% against a market price of 39% (-1.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Parma

LLLWL
  • 24 Oct · A v Lazio 1–2 (xG 0.87–1.82)
  • 19 Oct · H v Torino 0–3 (xG 1.43–1.37)
  • 10 Oct · A v Inter 0–3 (xG 0.46–2.42)
  • 20 Sep · H v Genoa 2–1 (xG 0.53–0.70)
  • 14 Sep · A v Como 1–2 (xG 1.15–2.98)

Udinese

LLLLL
  • 25 Oct · H v AC Milan 0–2 (xG 0.46–3.15)
  • 18 Oct · H v Lecce 0–3 (xG 0.63–3.45)
  • 12 Oct · A v Torino 1–2 (xG 0.79–2.66)
  • 19 Sep · H v Cagliari 0–1 (xG 2.13–1.12)
  • 14 Sep · A v Inter 3–5 (xG 0.92–3.05)

Head-to-head

Parma 1 · draws 0 · Udinese 3, 2.3 goals a game

  • 18 Apr 2026 · Udinese 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
  • 29 Nov 2025 · Parma 0–2 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 1 Mar 2025 · Udinese 1–0 Parma (Serie A)
  • 16 Sep 2024 · Parma 2–3 Udinese (Serie A)