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Sassuolo
17:30
Lazio
Tue 27 Oct, 17:30 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Luca Zufferli
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 44%
Us 45%Bookmakers 44% Edge +0.5 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.5% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 45% against a market price of 44% (+0.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Sassuolo

LLDLW
  • 24 Oct · A v Como 0–2 (xG 0.26–1.69)
  • 16 Oct · A v Frosinone 2–4 (xG 1.94–2.12)
  • 11 Oct · H v AC Milan 1–1 (xG 1.19–1.18)
  • 18 Sep · A v Monza 1–2 (xG 1.47–1.51)
  • 13 Sep · H v Juventus 3–2 (xG 1.02–1.10)

Lazio

WWWWD
  • 24 Oct · H v Parma 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.87)
  • 18 Oct · A v Juventus 3–0 (xG 0.59–0.79)
  • 11 Oct · H v Monza 3–1 (xG 1.84–1.84)
  • 19 Sep · A v Venezia 2–0 (xG 1.60–1.89)
  • 12 Sep · H v AC Milan 2–2 (xG 2.01–1.25)

Head-to-head

Sassuolo 1 · draws 0 · Lazio 1, 2.0 goals a game

  • 9 Mar 2026 · Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo (Serie A)
  • 14 Sep 2025 · Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio (Serie A)