Venezia
17:30
Inter
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Luca J. Pairetto
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 89%Books 89% Best odds 1.12 (Betano)
Most likely: Away win
Home win
13%
Bookmakers 11%
Draw
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
71%
Bookmakers 73%
Us 71%Bookmakers 73%
Edge -2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±3.5%
Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Away win: 71% against a market price of 73% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVenezia
LWLLL
- 25 Oct · A v Genoa 0–1 (xG 1.82–0.41)
- 17 Oct · H v Napoli 1–0 (xG 0.67–2.46)
- 12 Oct · A v Atalanta 1–3 (xG 2.54–2.26)
- 19 Sep · H v Lazio 0–2 (xG 1.89–1.60)
- 11 Sep · H v Fiorentina 2–4 (xG 0.49–3.31)
Inter
WWWLW
- 25 Oct · H v Fiorentina 2–1 (xG 2.94–0.25)
- 21 Oct · H v Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 (xG 1.09–0.61)
- 17 Oct · A v Bologna 3–1 (xG 3.22–1.09)
- 13 Oct · H v Club Brugge KV 3–4 (xG 4.33–4.29)
- 10 Oct · H v Parma 3–0 (xG 2.42–0.46)
Head-to-head
Venezia 0 · draws 0 · Inter 2, 1.0 goals a game
- 12 Jan 2025 · Venezia 0–1 Inter (Serie A)
- 3 Nov 2024 · Inter 1–0 Venezia (Serie A)