Guadalajara Chivas
00:07
Necaxa
Wed 21 Oct, 00:07
Estadio Akron
Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValueUs 56%Books 52% Edge +3.4 pts Best odds 1.89 (Pinnacle) Expected return +5.5%
Match result: no bet
Home win
68%
Bookmakers 71%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 68%Bookmakers 71%
Edge -2.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-5.0% expected per unit).
- Home win: 68% against a market price of 71% (-2.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGuadalajara Chivas
DDLDW
- 17 Oct · H v Tigres UANL 1–1 (xG 1.68–0.48)
- 11 Oct · A v Atlas 1–1 (xG 2.12–1.74)
- 26 Sep · H v Club Queretaro 0–2 (xG 1.27–1.88)
- 20 Sep · A v Club America 2–2 (xG 0.81–0.99)
- 14 Sep · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–0 (xG 0.86–0.50)
Necaxa
LDLLL
- 17 Oct · H v Atlas 0–2 (xG 1.85–2.19)
- 11 Oct · A v CF Pachuca 3–3 (xG 3.25–1.15)
- 28 Sep · H v Club America 2–4
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico San Luis 1–3
- 12 Sep · H v Puebla 0–1 (xG 1.02–0.68)
Head-to-head
Guadalajara Chivas 2 · draws 1 · Necaxa 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 23 Apr 2026 · Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX)
- 24 Sep 2025 · Guadalajara Chivas 3–1 Necaxa (Liga MX)
- 18 Jan 2025 · Necaxa 3–2 Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX)
- 23 Oct 2024 · Guadalajara Chivas 3–2 Necaxa (Liga MX)