Leon
23:00
Toluca
Sat 24 Oct, 23:00
Estadio León
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValueUs 65%Books 60% Edge +4.6 pts Best odds 1.62 (Betano) Expected return +4.7%
Match result: no bet
Home win
31%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
42%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 42%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -4.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 42% against a market price of 47% (-4.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLeon
WLDWD
- 21 Oct · A v Tigres UANL 2–0 (xG 2.27–1.93)
- 18 Oct · H v Club America 3–5 (xG 1.64–2.19)
- 10 Oct · A v Puebla 1–1 (xG 1.81–0.63)
- 28 Sep · H v FC Juarez 2–1 (xG 0.74–1.31)
- 21 Sep · A v Club Queretaro 1–1 (xG 1.72–1.82)
Toluca
DDLDL
- 22 Oct · H v Club Tijuana 2–2 (xG 2.24–1.44)
- 18 Oct · H v Atletico San Luis 1–1 (xG 0.00–0.00)
- 10 Oct · A v Tigres UANL 2–3 (xG 1.24–1.73)
- 26 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 3–3 (xG 1.95–1.55)
- 21 Sep · H v Santos Laguna 2–3
Head-to-head
Leon 0 · draws 2 · Toluca 2, 5.3 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Toluca 4–1 Leon (Liga MX)
- 5 Oct 2025 · Leon 2–4 Toluca (Liga MX)
- 9 Feb 2025 · Leon 3–3 Toluca (Liga MX)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Toluca 2–2 Leon (Liga MX)