Atlas
23:00
Puebla
Sun 25 Oct, 23:00
Estadio Jalisco
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
52%
Bookmakers 52%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 52%Bookmakers 52%
Edge +0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 52% (+0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAtlas
LWDWD
- 22 Oct · H v Club America 2–5 (xG 2.52–2.46)
- 17 Oct · A v Necaxa 2–0 (xG 2.19–1.85)
- 11 Oct · H v Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 (xG 1.74–2.12)
- 26 Sep · A v Club Tijuana 3–2
- 19 Sep · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 (xG 2.47–0.64)
Puebla
LDDLD
- 22 Oct · H v Monterrey 1–4 (xG 1.19–1.46)
- 17 Oct · A v Club Tijuana 0–0 (xG 0.42–1.22)
- 10 Oct · H v Leon 1–1 (xG 0.63–1.81)
- 27 Sep · A v Tigres UANL 0–1
- 19 Sep · H v Atlante FC 1–1 (xG 0.45–1.18)
Head-to-head
Atlas 4 · draws 0 · Puebla 0, 3.5 goals a game
- 10 Jan 2026 · Atlas 1–0 Puebla (Liga MX)
- 12 Jul 2025 · Puebla 2–3 Atlas (Liga MX)
- 15 Feb 2025 · Atlas 3–2 Puebla (Liga MX)
- 20 Jul 2024 · Puebla 1–2 Atlas (Liga MX)