Cherno More Varna
15:00
Septemvri Sofia
Tue 27 Oct, 15:00
Ticha Stadium
Stoyanov·Georgi
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 55%Bookmakers 57%
Edge -1.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 57% (-1.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCherno More Varna
LDDLL
- 11 Oct · H v Levski Sofia 0–2
- 19 Sep · A v Arda Kardzhali 1–1
- 11 Sep · H v Lokomotiv Sofia 2–2
- 6 Sep · A v Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1
- 30 Aug · A v CSKA Sofia 1–3
Septemvri Sofia
LLLLD
- 11 Oct · H v Dunav Ruse 2–3
- 19 Sep · H v Botev Plovdiv 0–3
- 14 Sep · A v Ludogorets 1–2
- 4 Sep · H v Botev Vratsa 2–3
- 28 Aug · A v Slavia Sofia 1–1
Head-to-head
Cherno More Varna 3 · draws 1 · Septemvri Sofia 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 7 Mar 2026 · Septemvri Sofia 0–3 Cherno More Varna (First League)
- 27 Sep 2025 · Cherno More Varna 1–1 Septemvri Sofia (First League)
- 29 Nov 2024 · Septemvri Sofia 1–2 Cherno More Varna (First League)
- 29 Jul 2024 · Cherno More Varna 2–0 Septemvri Sofia (First League)