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Helmond Sport
0–2
NAC Breda
Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 Lavans Stadion

Our pick: Home win

Upset Watch Lost
Home win
22%
Bookmakers 17%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
57%
Bookmakers 63%
Us 22%Bookmakers 17% Edge +4.4 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 4.4% too long by the market.

  • Home win: 22% against a market price of 17% (+4.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Helmond Sport

LDLLW
  • 9 Oct · A v FC OSS 1–3 (xG 1.48–2.78)
  • 2 Oct · H v Heracles 2–2 (xG 1.58–2.06)
  • 26 Sep · A v MVV 0–2
  • 18 Sep · A v Den Bosch 1–2 (xG 0.95–1.65)
  • 11 Sep · H v Jong PSV U21 3–1 (xG 2.00–0.72)

NAC Breda

WDWWL
  • 9 Oct · H v MVV 1–0 (xG 0.72–0.28)
  • 3 Oct · A v Vitesse 2–2
  • 26 Sep · H v FC Eindhoven 4–2 (xG 2.31–0.35)
  • 20 Sep · A v De Graafschap 2–1 (xG 2.07–1.19)
  • 11 Sep · H v Jong Utrecht 2–3 (xG 1.91–0.67)

Head-to-head

No previous meeting stored.