Almere City FC
2–3
Roda
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00
Yanmar Stadion
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
50%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 49% (+0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlmere City FC
LWWLW
- 17 Oct · A v Emmen 1–2 (xG 2.22–3.67)
- 9 Oct · H v FC Eindhoven 3–0 (xG 2.79–0.46)
- 3 Oct · H v FC Volendam 1–0 (xG 2.19–1.04)
- 25 Sep · A v Dordrecht 2–3 (xG 1.85–0.91)
- 18 Sep · H v Heracles 1–0 (xG 0.23–2.63)
Roda
WDLWD
- 19 Oct · A v Jong Utrecht 2–1 (xG 2.44–1.02)
- 9 Oct · H v Jong PSV U21 1–1 (xG 1.60–1.33)
- 4 Oct · A v VVV Venlo 0–2
- 26 Sep · H v Waalwijk 2–0 (xG 0.49–0.78)
- 18 Sep · A v Jong Ajax 0–0 (xG 0.52–1.13)
Head-to-head
Almere City FC 0 · draws 0 · Roda 2, 2.5 goals a game
- 30 Jan 2026 · Almere City FC 1–2 Roda (Eerste Divisie)
- 20 Oct 2025 · Roda 2–0 Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie)