Den Bosch
18:00
MVV
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00
Stadion de Vliert
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 55%Bookmakers 55%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 55% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDen Bosch
WWDLW
- 16 Oct · H v FC OSS 2–1 (xG 1.66–2.35)
- 9 Oct · A v Jong AZ 1–0 (xG 0.94–0.85)
- 3 Oct · H v Dordrecht 1–1 (xG 1.68–0.84)
- 27 Sep · A v De Graafschap 0–1
- 18 Sep · H v Helmond Sport 2–1 (xG 1.65–0.95)
MVV
LLLWL
- 18 Oct · H v Heracles 1–5 (xG 0.58–2.88)
- 9 Oct · A v NAC Breda 0–1 (xG 0.28–0.72)
- 3 Oct · A v FC OSS 1–4
- 26 Sep · H v Helmond Sport 2–0
- 18 Sep · A v Waalwijk 1–6 (xG 0.54–2.43)
Head-to-head
Den Bosch 1 · draws 1 · MVV 2, 4.0 goals a game
- 18 Jan 2026 · Den Bosch 1–2 MVV (Eerste Divisie)
- 16 Sep 2025 · MVV 2–4 Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie)
- 18 Jan 2025 · MVV 5–0 Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie)
- 23 Aug 2024 · Den Bosch 1–1 MVV (Eerste Divisie)