Vitesse
18:00
Emmen
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00
GelreDome
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 46%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 42% (+3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVitesse
WLDLW
- 16 Oct · A v FC Eindhoven 1–0 (xG 0.33–0.89)
- 9 Oct · A v FC Volendam 0–2 (xG 1.25–1.07)
- 3 Oct · H v NAC Breda 2–2
- 26 Sep · A v Heracles 0–2 (xG 1.19–1.77)
- 19 Sep · H v Jong PSV U21 3–1 (xG 2.65–0.85)
Emmen
WWDWL
- 17 Oct · H v Almere City FC 2–1 (xG 3.67–2.22)
- 9 Oct · A v Dordrecht 3–0 (xG 1.25–1.05)
- 3 Oct · A v Waalwijk 1–1 (xG 1.77–1.09)
- 26 Sep · H v FC OSS 1–0 (xG 1.86–0.81)
- 18 Sep · A v FC Eindhoven 1–3 (xG 1.30–1.43)
Head-to-head
Vitesse 2 · draws 2 · Emmen 0, 5.0 goals a game
- 3 Apr 2026 · Vitesse 3–3 Emmen (Eerste Divisie)
- 30 Sep 2025 · Emmen 2–4 Vitesse (Eerste Divisie)
- 10 Feb 2025 · Vitesse 2–0 Emmen (Eerste Divisie)
- 16 Sep 2024 · Emmen 3–3 Vitesse (Eerste Divisie)