Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
Willem II
Sat 17 Oct, 19:00
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
57%
Bookmakers 60%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 57%Bookmakers 60%
Edge -2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.1%).
- Home win: 57% against a market price of 60% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSparta Rotterdam
DLLDL
- 10 Oct · A v GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 (xG 2.36–1.29)
- 19 Sep · H v Heerenveen 0–4 (xG 0.67–1.80)
- 13 Sep · A v PSV Eindhoven 1–4 (xG 2.29–3.75)
- 4 Sep · H v PEC Zwolle 2–2 (xG 2.23–1.07)
- 29 Aug · A v Excelsior 1–2 (xG 1.03–1.32)
Willem II
LLLDL
- 11 Oct · A v Utrecht 1–3 (xG 0.61–1.30)
- 19 Sep · H v Fortuna Sittard 0–1 (xG 1.01–1.31)
- 15 Sep · A v Ajax 1–5 (xG 1.58–3.79)
- 11 Sep · A v AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (xG 0.93–2.48)
- 5 Sep · H v Excelsior 0–3 (xG 0.86–1.60)
Head-to-head
Sparta Rotterdam 2 · draws 0 · Willem II 0, 3.5 goals a game
- 2 Mar 2025 · Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 Willem II (Eredivisie)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Willem II 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie)