Groningen
2–5
Ajax
Sun 18 Oct, 14:45
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Dennis Higler
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
28%
Bookmakers 26%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
49%
Bookmakers 51%
Us 49%Bookmakers 51%
Edge -2.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.4%).
- Away win: 49% against a market price of 51% (-2.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGroningen
WWDDL
- 11 Oct · A v Excelsior 5–1 (xG 2.75–1.77)
- 18 Sep · H v PEC Zwolle 3–0 (xG 1.39–0.43)
- 12 Sep · A v GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 (xG 0.16–2.23)
- 6 Sep · H v Twente 2–2 (xG 1.48–2.30)
- 28 Aug · H v Fortuna Sittard 2–3 (xG 1.60–0.88)
Ajax
LDDWW
- 15 Oct · A v HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 (xG 1.15–1.99)
- 10 Oct · H v NEC Nijmegen 1–1 (xG 1.78–1.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Excelsior 2–2 (xG 2.51–0.82)
- 15 Sep · H v Willem II 5–1 (xG 3.79–1.58)
- 12 Sep · A v Fortuna Sittard 5–1 (xG 4.13–0.71)
Head-to-head
Groningen 1 · draws 1 · Ajax 3, 3.2 goals a game
- 21 May 2026 · Ajax 2–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- 7 Mar 2026 · Groningen 3–1 Ajax (Eredivisie)
- 2 Dec 2025 · Ajax 2–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- 14 May 2025 · Groningen 2–2 Ajax (Eredivisie)
- 6 Oct 2024 · Ajax 3–1 Groningen (Eredivisie)