Utrecht
1–1
PEC Zwolle
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30
Stadion Galgenwaard
Martijn Vos
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
60%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 60%Bookmakers 59%
Edge +1.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 60% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 60% against a market price of 59% (+1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUtrecht
WWLWD
- 18 Oct · A v Twente 2–1 (xG 1.25–1.36)
- 11 Oct · H v Willem II 3–1 (xG 1.30–0.61)
- 20 Sep · A v Feyenoord 0–5 (xG 0.58–3.41)
- 13 Sep · A v Excelsior 2–1 (xG 1.42–0.61)
- 8 Sep · H v GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 (xG 2.47–1.79)
PEC Zwolle
WLLLD
- 18 Oct · H v GO Ahead Eagles 4–1 (xG 1.81–2.76)
- 11 Oct · H v Cambuur 0–1 (xG 0.98–0.82)
- 18 Sep · A v Groningen 0–3 (xG 0.43–1.39)
- 13 Sep · H v Feyenoord 0–7 (xG 0.19–3.40)
- 4 Sep · A v Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 (xG 1.07–2.23)
Head-to-head
Utrecht 2 · draws 2 · PEC Zwolle 0, 2.8 goals a game
- 22 Feb 2026 · Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie)
- 31 Aug 2025 · PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie)
- 1 Feb 2025 · PEC Zwolle 3–3 Utrecht (Eredivisie)
- 11 Aug 2024 · Utrecht 1–0 PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie)