Willem II
1–6
Cambuur
Sat 24 Oct, 16:45
Koning Willem II Stadion
Dennis Higler
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 38%Bookmakers 38%
Edge +0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 38% (+0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWillem II
LLLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 (xG 1.24–3.46)
- 11 Oct · A v Utrecht 1–3 (xG 0.61–1.30)
- 19 Sep · H v Fortuna Sittard 0–1 (xG 1.01–1.31)
- 15 Sep · A v Ajax 1–5 (xG 1.58–3.79)
- 11 Sep · A v AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (xG 0.93–2.48)
Cambuur
DWDWD
- 18 Oct · H v AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (xG 1.53–1.56)
- 11 Oct · A v PEC Zwolle 1–0 (xG 0.82–0.98)
- 19 Sep · A v ADO Den Haag 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v NEC Nijmegen 3–0 (xG 3.12–0.93)
- 6 Sep · A v Telstar 2–2 (xG 0.98–2.12)
Head-to-head
Willem II 0 · draws 1 · Cambuur 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 12 Dec 2025 · Willem II 0–1 Cambuur (Eerste Divisie)
- 6 Sep 2025 · Cambuur 2–2 Willem II (Eerste Divisie)