Fortuna Sittard
1–0
Excelsior
Sun 25 Oct, 11:15
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ingmar Oostrom
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
40%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 40%Bookmakers 40%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 40% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFortuna Sittard
DDWLW
- 18 Oct · A v NEC Nijmegen 2–2 (xG 0.45–3.06)
- 10 Oct · H v Twente 1–1 (xG 0.85–1.17)
- 19 Sep · A v Willem II 1–0 (xG 1.31–1.01)
- 12 Sep · H v Ajax 1–5 (xG 0.71–4.13)
- 6 Sep · A v ADO Den Haag 3–2 (xG 0.55–0.48)
Excelsior
LLDLD
- 16 Oct · A v Heerenveen 0–4 (xG 0.73–2.33)
- 11 Oct · H v Groningen 1–5 (xG 1.77–2.75)
- 19 Sep · A v Ajax 2–2 (xG 0.82–2.51)
- 13 Sep · H v Utrecht 1–2 (xG 0.61–1.42)
- 8 Sep · A v NEC Nijmegen 2–2 (xG 1.81–1.36)
Head-to-head
Fortuna Sittard 1 · draws 0 · Excelsior 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 20 Feb 2026 · Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior (Eredivisie)
- 19 Oct 2025 · Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie)