NEC Nijmegen
2–2
Groningen
Sun 25 Oct, 13:30
Stadion de Goffert
Martin Van den Kerkhof
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
44%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 44%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.3% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 42% (+2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNEC Nijmegen
WDDDD
- 22 Oct · A v Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 (xG 1.41–2.67)
- 18 Oct · H v Fortuna Sittard 2–2 (xG 3.06–0.45)
- 15 Oct · H v Levski Sofia 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.28)
- 10 Oct · A v Ajax 1–1 (xG 1.05–1.78)
- 20 Sep · H v GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 (xG 1.04–2.31)
Groningen
LWWDD
- 18 Oct · H v Ajax 2–5 (xG 2.29–3.04)
- 11 Oct · A v Excelsior 5–1 (xG 2.75–1.77)
- 18 Sep · H v PEC Zwolle 3–0 (xG 1.39–0.43)
- 12 Sep · A v GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 (xG 0.16–2.23)
- 6 Sep · H v Twente 2–2 (xG 1.48–2.30)
Head-to-head
NEC Nijmegen 2 · draws 0 · Groningen 2, 3.5 goals a game
- 10 May 2026 · Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
- 9 Nov 2025 · NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- 8 Feb 2025 · Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
- 3 Nov 2024 · NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)