Sparta Rotterdam
1–2
Ajax
Sun 25 Oct, 15:45
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
Danny Makkelie
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
17%
Bookmakers 15%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
64%
Bookmakers 67%
Us 64%Bookmakers 67%
Edge -2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.8% expected per unit).
- Away win: 64% against a market price of 67% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSparta Rotterdam
WDLLD
- 17 Oct · H v Willem II 3–2 (xG 3.46–1.24)
- 10 Oct · A v GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 (xG 2.36–1.29)
- 19 Sep · H v Heerenveen 0–4 (xG 0.67–1.80)
- 13 Sep · A v PSV Eindhoven 1–4 (xG 2.29–3.75)
- 4 Sep · H v PEC Zwolle 2–2 (xG 2.23–1.07)
Ajax
WWLDD
- 22 Oct · H v Atalanta 2–0 (xG 1.78–0.97)
- 18 Oct · A v Groningen 5–2 (xG 3.04–2.29)
- 15 Oct · A v HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 (xG 1.15–1.99)
- 10 Oct · H v NEC Nijmegen 1–1 (xG 1.78–1.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Excelsior 2–2 (xG 2.51–0.82)
Head-to-head
Sparta Rotterdam 0 · draws 2 · Ajax 2, 3.5 goals a game
- 14 Mar 2026 · Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie)
- 4 Oct 2025 · Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Ajax (Eredivisie)
- 27 Apr 2025 · Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie)
- 22 Dec 2024 · Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 Ajax (Eredivisie)