Dunkerque
18:00
Metz
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00
Stade Marcel Tribut
Mickael Leleu
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 40%
Us 38%Bookmakers 34%
Edge +3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±5.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 34% (+3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDunkerque
WLLWD
- 17 Oct · A v Nantes 3–2 (xG 1.52–1.62)
- 9 Oct · H v Annecy 0–1 (xG 0.68–1.76)
- 18 Sep · A v PAU 0–2
- 12 Sep · H v Saint Etienne 2–1
- 4 Sep · H v Clermont Foot 1–1
Metz
WLDLW
- 17 Oct · H v Sochaux 3–2 (xG 1.72–1.85)
- 12 Oct · A v Dijon 2–4 (xG 1.47–2.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Saint Etienne 2–2
- 14 Sep · A v RED Star FC 93 0–1
- 5 Sep · H v Rodez 4–1
Head-to-head
Dunkerque 0 · draws 0 · Metz 3, 2.7 goals a game
- 17 May 2025 · Metz 1–0 Dunkerque (Ligue 2)
- 15 Mar 2025 · Dunkerque 2–3 Metz (Ligue 2)
- 9 Dec 2024 · Metz 2–0 Dunkerque (Ligue 2)